“一带一路”背景下中国和印度尼西亚互联互通合作成效研究(Research on the effectiveness of connectivity cooperation between China and Indonesia under the background of “ One Belt and One Road”)开题报告

 2023-04-06 09:04

1. 研究目的与意义(文献综述包含参考文献)

Literature ReviewSince the resumption of diplomatic relations between China and Indonesia in 1990, the two countries have aggressively fostered economic and trade cooperation and achieved significant accomplishments in a variety of industries, including direct investment and project contracting. In 2013, the Chinese and Indonesian chiefs of state jointly published the "China-Indonesia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Future Plan" in Jakarta. The plan officially upgraded the China-Indonesia relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership, indicating the positive development of China-Indonesia relations. Indonesia has attracted a high number of Chinese firms due to its attractive investment climate, which includes a sufficient labor force, overseas Chinese, and abundant oil resources. Indonesia has also become a vital fulcrum country along the "One Belt and One Road" program, owing to the extensive market opportunities created by its massive population base, unique geographical conditions, and plentiful natural resources.1. Review of Domestic LiteratureYang Dize (2018) examined the political risks associated with China's direct investment in Indonesia, including the types of political risks that may arise as a result of China's direct investment in Indonesia. According to the World Bank's data on China's direct investment in Indonesia from 2007 to 2015, when econometric methods are used to empirically analyze the data, the results indicate that for every 1% increase in Indonesia's political risk level, China's direct investment in Indonesia declines by 6.42 percent. Guo Renzhao (2019) reviewed China's and Indonesia's national strategic backgrounds and concluded that China will be a powerful driving force behind Indonesia's global maritime fulcrum strategy, and that the two nations may cooperate in maritime connectivity, agriculture, and energy. According to Xu Liping (2019), China-Indonesia people-to-people and cultural interactions have been upgraded to the level of deputy prime ministers. Particularly in light of the recent global economic slump, the movement of people between the two nations will surely become the driving force behind bilateral relations, particularly capital exchanges. It is a significant driving element in the two countries' relationship. In terms of main industrial sectors, Zhang Zhongyuan (2020) believes that China and Indonesia may enhance collaboration in agriculture and shipbuilding, with the partnership model diversifying to export sophisticated agricultural products to Indonesia. Scientific and technological achievements, mechanical equipment, and mature technologies can all serve as a model for development, with financial cooperation between the two countries vital to assist the development of linked sectors. In terms of risk analysis for industrial cooperation between the two nations, Liang Xiaobei (2020) examined the difficulties associated with the China-Indonesia Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail project from the perspectives of politics, investment, technology, and operational environment. The difficulties faced during the project's implementation are explored in terms of government corruption, currency exchange, and other factors.Liao Meng (2019) separates the growth of Chinese corporations' investment in Indonesia approximately into three periods. The first period is from 1990 to 2006, when investment began gradually; the second period is from 2007 to 2012, when investment grows steadily; and finally, the third period is from 2013 to the present, when investment grows rapidly. Zhang Chunlei and Huang Xi (2019) analyzed the current favorable conditions for Indonesia to attract foreign direct investment and the current barriers to Chinese companies' direct investment in Indonesia, concluding that the favorable conditions for Indonesia to attract foreign direct investment include the Indonesian economy's overall strong performance, the investment environment, and the investment climate. Gradual improvement, the promotion of the establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area, and the promulgation and implementation of the 2018-2025 Indonesia Economic Development Master Plan; while the problems of Chinese enterprises direct investment in Indonesia include the obvious phenomenon of disorderly competition among Chinese enterprises , China's industry standards cannot be in line with international standards, the technical terms in the contract have not been fully digested, and the localized management level in the contract execution process is not high.2. Review of Foreign LiteratureAccording to Robert E. Lipsey (2019), foreign direct investment is critical for developing countries' economic success. Foreign direct investment has aided the economic development of Southeast Asian countries significantly. In comparison to other Southeast Asian countries, Indonesia's foreign direct investment intake is inextricably linked to the country's economic performance. The economy is disproportionately small in size. Muhammad Azam and Ling Lukman (2019) conducted an empirical study using a linear regression model to analyze the impact of various economic conditions on FDI inflows into Indonesia between 1971 and 2005. The empirical findings indicate that market size, external debt, domestic investment, trade openness, and the state of infrastructure all play a significant role in determining FDI inflows in Indonesia; Syamsu Rijal (2020) conducted a similar study, utilizing data from the World Bank, the International Financial Statistics Database, and the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, among others, to empirically study five macroeconomic variables, including GDP, infrastructure, and trade openness. Infrastructure quality has a large long-run effect on direct investment in Indonesia, but has no such effect in the short term; the exchange rate has a positive but negligible long-run effect on direct investment inflows to Indonesia, and has no such effect in the short term. Positive and large influence on Indonesia's direct investment inflows.3. SummaryThe stages of direct investment between China and Indonesia are quite evident, and numerous research have been conducted on the factors affecting China's direct investment in Indonesia at this stage. Positive aspects include Indonesia's steady economic growth, an improved investment climate, and the construction of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area. Political risks, anti-China sentiment in Indonesia, and existing challenges in Chinese enterprises are all negative considerations. However, it should be noted that the majority of these studies are sector-specific, and there is no systematic and comprehensive examination of the Belt and Road Initiative's macroeconomic impact on China's direct investment in Indonesia.Reference[1] Yang Dize. Suggestions on key cooperation between China and Indonesia in the field of resources and environment [J]. Proceedings of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2018, 34(01): 94-103.[2] Guo Renzhen. The current situation of infrastructure construction in Indonesia and the path of cooperation between China and Indonesia under the promotion of the "Belt and Road" initiative [J]. Southeast Asia, 2019(06):76-83.[3] Xu Liping. An Analysis of Bilateral Economic and Trade Cooperation between China and Indonesia [J]. Journal of Jiangnan Institute of Sociology, 2019, 17(02): 56-61.[4] Zhang Zhongyuan. 21st Century China-Indonesia Media and Related Industry Cooperation [J]. Southeast Asia, 2020(02):105-112.[5] Liang Xiaobei. The e-commerce cooperation model and its driving mechanism between China and Indonesia under the "One Belt, One Road" initiative [J]. Economic and Social Development, 2020, 18(03): 16-24.[6] Wu Guanju. A brief study of the relationship between China and Indonesia before the nineteenth century [J]. Historical Research, 2020(03):17-33.[7] Liao Meng. Discussion on investment opportunities of Chinese enterprises in Indonesia [J]. Economic Research Guide, 2019, (1): 122-124.[8] Zhang Chunlei, Huang Xi. Reflections on Deepening China-Indonesia Economic Cooperation [J]. International Economic Cooperation, 2019, (6): 44-48.[9]Robert E. Lipsey. The determinants of Chinese outward foreign direct investment.[J] Journal of International Business Studies.2019.38.499-518[10]Buckley,A.R. Cross,X. Liu. The determinants of Chinese outward foreign direct investment.[J] Journal of International Business Studies.2019.38.499-518 [11]Muhammad Azam Ling Lukman.BanyuPerwita.JokowisMaritime Axis:Changeand Continuity of IndonesiasRole[J]. Journal of Asean Studies, 2019(01):32-41. [12]ChinesebusinessmenurgeestablishmentofChinadeskinIndonesia.[N]JakartaPost,19 December 2018. [13]Syamsu Rijal. Ebarvia. Economic Assessment of Oceans for Sustainable Blue Economy Development[J]. Journal of Ocean and Coastal Economics,2020(02)1-29. [14]JohnWong,SarahChan.China-AseanFreeTrade Agreement:ShapingFutureEconomic Relations[M]. Asian Survey,2020,(3):507-26. [15]I GustiBagusDharma Agastia,A.A.BanyuPerwita.JokowisMaritime Axis:Changeand Continuity of IndonesiasRole[J]. Journal of Asean Studies,2019(01):32-41.

2. 研究的基本内容、问题解决措施及方案

毕 业 设 计(论 文)开 题 报 告1. Research TopicIn 2013, the heads of state of China and Indonesia issued the "China-Indonesia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Future Plan" in the capital of Indonesia, which officially upgraded the China-Indonesia relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership. In the following six years, direct investment has become one of the main forms of economic cooperation between the two countries. In the Belt and Road initiative, Indonesia has also become a strategic fulcrum country along the Maritime Silk Road due to the broad market prospects brought by its huge population base, unique geographical conditions and abundant natural resources. This paper calculates and analyzes the panel data of the main trade industries exported to China by each province through the economic openness and financial index deposit-loan ratio of 33 provinces in Indonesia as indicators of foreign direct investment, and draws the impact of the two on the main trade industries. The analysis results provide practical requirements for the proposal of industrial investment cooperation funds. Then, the case of the international industrial investment cooperation fund was analyzed and analyzed, and the operating conditions for the establishment of the China-Indonesia industrial investment cooperation fund were discussed. Finally, this paper first analyzes Indonesia's export-led industries and the reality of FDI to draw corresponding conclusions, and then analyzes the policy backgrounds of China's 21st Century Maritime Silk Road and Indonesia's global maritime fulcrum, looking for commonalities to provide industrial investment cooperation funds. Provide a realistic basis. Then explore the global development process of industrial investment cooperation funds.2. Research Methods2.1. Document ResearchBy reading and arranging official documents, meeting minutes and other materials, learn about the history of the China-Indonesia Cooperation Exhibition. By reading the journal literature on the "One Belt and One Road", China-Indonesia economic cooperation, and China-Indonesia cooperation, summarize relevant data and provide support for qualitative and quantitative analysis.2.2. Contrast and DeductionComparative analysis of the foreign investment between China and Indonesia, on the basis of expounding the current situation of China's cooperation with Indonesia, discussing the possible factors of China's cooperation with Indonesia, and then through GDP, political risk index, trade openness, infrastructure, investment, etc. Data, using vector autoregression model to empirically analyze the factors that affect Indonesia's cooperation with China.

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